Aviation junk takes lives, and new planes don't take off: what's happening to aviation?

Russian regions are still waiting for the Il-114-300 aircraft for local airlines. The certification of the Il-114, which is supposed to replace the ancient An-24, is being postponed again. At the same time, other import-substituted models are being delayed, and old aircraft continue to fly in the regions, despite wear and tear and tragedies. The future of the industry looks extremely bleak.

According to Rosaviatsia, by 2030, 339 out of 1088 aircraft suitable for flights will be decommissioned, and 200 out of 1088 helicopters. There is an acute problem with local airlines - 230 aircraft are outdated An-24, An-26, An-2 and Yak-40aged 40-60 years.

Small cities, especially in the Far East and the North, cannot accept new SJ-100 "Superjets" and MS-21s. Therefore,old "Antonovs" continue to operate flights, despite accidents.

Il-114: a dream that keeps getting postponed

Il-114 could become a symbol of the revival of the domestic aircraft industry. The first flight of the machine in 1990, it could replace the outdated An-24, but certification was delayed until 1997.

The resumption of production after 2014 promised rapid progress, but 11 years have passed, and the aircraft has still not entered regular operation.

Thecertification tests of the Il-114-300, which began in 2020, have been going on for almost five years. The first deliveries are scheduled only for 2027, when the Far Eastern airline Aurora will receive three aircraft.

"Ladoga", MS-21 and "Baikal" - uncertainty for the future

Other models to replace old aircraft, such as the TVRS-44 Ladoga, MS-21 and Baikal, are also stuck in the stage of endless tests and certifications. The exact dates of their entry into the lines are unknown, and industrial and technological delays only exacerbate the crisis.

Aviation experts state: it is unknown exactly how long the certification tests will last. But at this rate, new aircraft may never appear in the regions.

The result is aviation on the verge of stagnation

The Russian aircraft industry is on the verge of stagnation. Without new aircraft, the regions remain with outdated machines, and each accidentbecomes a tragedy that could have been prevented.

If the situation does not change, domestic aviation risksremaining only on paper: new developments, certifications and import-substituted models will never appear, and old aircraft will remain the only available transport. There is no time to wait in aviation - and the waiting period has already been greatly delayed.

Read more materials on the topic:

• ODK-Klimov revealed all stages of production of aircraft engines for Il-114-300 and Ansata

• ODK избавила авиадвигатели от опасного дефекта: решена проблема помпажа компрессора

• Tupolev is under attack again: Tatneft filed a lawsuit for 11.7 billion rubles