The geomagnetic situation remains moderately calm. After a brief increase in disturbances caused by the passage of a coronal hole on March 9, the Earth's magnetic field has stabilized at levels of Kp = 2-3, which corresponds to a calm state.
However, changes are possible as early as March 14, when an increase in solar wind density and velocity is predicted. The expected disturbances will be moderate, but with a probability of 20-30%, they may reach the level of weak magnetic storms.
The current low activity is associated with an overall decrease in the number and power of solar flares. This period of solar activity depression has been lasting for about two months, although there are brief bursts. Despite this, it is too early to talk about the transition of the 25th solar cycle to the decline phase. Last year, when activity reached its peak in the last 20 years, there were also periods of decline lasting 3-4 months.
The long-term forecast of solar activity remains uncertain. However, if activity does not resume within the next 3 months, the probability that the peak of the 25th cycle has already passed will significantly increase.
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