In 2008, when artificial intelligence (AI) was just emerging, scientists believed that it would not enter everyday life for another 50-60 years. However, in 2012, a revolution occurred in the field of neural networks, and now AI is actively changing almost all areas of our lives. The development of quantum computers may follow the same scenario.
The breakthrough in artificial intelligence in 2012 showed that technology needs real-world application, and for this, business must invest in development. This is the opinion of Olga Uskova, founder and president of Cognitive Technologies. At the Forum of Future Technologies, she shared her own predictions about when quantum computers will enter everyday life.
Fanatics, Freeloaders, and Those Who Wait
All serious discoveries that claim to revolutionize life go through approximately the same stages. In 2008, scientists in the field of artificial intelligence were saying exactly the same thing that they are saying today about quantum computers. Then, within three years, a revolution occurs in the field of neural networks, and scientists propose a fundamentally different approach. This is how artificial intelligence entered the real world in 2012.
From the statements of the most eminent global developers to the revolution and transition to the real world, it took literally 3-4 years. In my opinion, a very similar story is now unfolding in quantum computing.
As a specialist constantly interacting with advanced developments and scientific groups, she divides experts in this field into three groups: fanatics, freeloaders, and those who wait and see.
I would divide people into three great groups. The first is fanatics, those people to whom God has given a vision of working with the quantum direction. Of course, the flow is international. Like any great work, it is created in parallel in different parts of the planet. The time comes, and the movement upwards begins, it cannot be stopped. The second group is freeloaders. Those people who catch the hype, understand that in this area there are grants, the interest of the state, and professionally, in a managerial way, work with this direction on very large budgets. The third group is those who wait, those who are curious. Neural networkers jumped out of the second group. At the moment, this group is the most interesting, because it is the most dynamic, lively, and influences the whole situation.
People are the Most Important
The founder of Cognitive Technologies notes that teams of people always stand behind the development of technologies. This applies to both Western technologies (such as Elon Musk's team) and domestic ones. However, if business had not become interested in the development of AI, progress could have taken a completely different path.
Within a year, neural networks suddenly appeared everywhere. Chat GPT, Midjourney, and other networks have changed the face of all areas of human existence. For example, inside smartphones, about 30% of processes are served by one type or another of artificial intelligence: advertising, financial systems, social networks, basic content management, information gathering, and so on.
We have long been covered by artificial intelligence. And such penetration more and more requires demands on hardware. Since we, for example, produce hardware and software complexes, for us the processing speed is a matter of markets, that is, this is one of our key issues. At the same time, it must be understood that when the Internet arose, the darknet immediately arose. After the emergence of artificial intelligence, "dark artificial intelligence" appeared. In this zone, we see the most pressing need for the use of quantum computers.
According to her, without a real order, science is dead. Scientists and science cannot exist solely on government grants. On the contrary, it is important to develop the market for the development of science, and synergy with real sectors of the economy is important here.
There is no market, there are no customers, scientists live only on grants, and in this sense there will be neither science nor applications. This situation is unfolding exclusively by internal order and the emergence of teams that are not focused on court life. The Duke of Quantum Computing or the Baroness of Quantum Business is separate. This is not a business, but a court life.
The future of artificial intelligence and quantum technologies was discussed at the Forum of Future Technologies, organized by the Roscongress Foundation with the support of the Ministry of Digital Development, Communications and Mass Media of the Russian Federation and the Russian Academy of Sciences.
