Новый подход к прогнозированию будущего разработали в России

SUM: A method for making decisions under uncertainty for forecasting the future has been created

A new approach to forecasting the future has been developed at the State University of Management, based on the theory of decision-making under uncertainty.

The educational institution noted that the theory and methods of forecasting in the modern world of forecasting are widely used in practice in the work of large enterprises and industries.

In total, there are about 150 classical methods of scientific forecasting of the future in prognostics. However, they all have one common drawback - they work on the principle of extrapolation, focusing on previous experience.

The new method is based on the theory of decision-making under uncertainty. This is a branch of knowledge that allows you to calculate analytically what actions need to be taken in conditions when the factorial external space is not defined.

If you need to make a decision with contradictory goal-setting and a large number of criteria, then you need to enter the data and press the button - the program will issue a solution based on the definition of all possible efficiencies and recalculation of the entire information space.
Alexey Terentyev, Chief Researcher of the Department of Coordination of Scientific Research of the SUM

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Sources
Gazeta.ru

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