The growth of active regions on the Sun has stopped, and flares have sharply weakened to class C. The star's rotation is moving the centers away from the Sun-Earth line: even an X10 flare will not reach the planet, according to the Laboratory of Solar Astronomy of the Space Research Institute of the Russian Academy of Sciences and the Institute of Solar-Terrestrial Physics of the Siberian Branch of the Russian Academy of Sciences.

Activity has dropped to class C, with no signs of returning to the state of October 6. Even if energy is accumulating, the Sun's rotation is rapidly moving active centers to the western limb, from where even an X10 flare will not reach Earth. Flares are divided into five classes: A, B, C, M, and X. The minimum A0.0 corresponds to a radiation power in Earth's orbit of 10 nanowatts per square meter; with each subsequent letter, the power increases tenfold.

A geomagnetic storm is predicted for October 9 with a probability of about 80% due to the arrival of solar plasma clouds. It will not be possible to see the aurora borealis immediately after its morning arrival, and whether the bright auroral oval will last until dark is unknown. Weak activity does not cancel the storm: plasma ejections reach Earth with a delay, and for satellites and communications, not so much the power of the flare is important, but rather the density and direction of the cloud.