As of now, mathematical models do not confirm the possibility of plasma clouds ejected from the Sun reaching Earth after the two largest flares of the month M8.4 and M6.3 on June 15 and 16, respectively. This was reported by the Solar Astronomy Laboratory of the IKI RAS.
For both cases, calculations show that the substance that left the Sun will pass above the plane of the planets. For the first event, there is still a weak probability of 10% that the planet will be affected by the edge of the plasma structure for 2 days.
For the second emission, the probability of reaching Earth is absent. The possibility of repeating the strong magnetic storms of the beginning of the month, when the geomagnetic activity index almost reached the highest level G5, is currently excluded.
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