Russian businessmen and startuppers are not yet ready to switch to domestic software, and such a transition will take at least 6 years. This is according to data from IDECO analysts.
According to the Russian vendor, some clients risk security and use foreign programs without support and updates, making it easier for hackers to access. At the same time, a number of companies are simultaneously testing Russian similar software of various levels or are budgeting for such tests in 2024.
There is interest in domestic products: for example, only next-generation firewalls (NGFW) from IDECO were tested by 2,500 companies in 2023. This is twice as much as the year before, in 2022. But only the public sector is mainly ready to completely abandon foreign software and switch to Russian analogues.
Of course, we are dealing with trust. It is because of it that 28% of potential customers are ready to abandon Russian software. The share of companies that have managed to switch to domestic developments does not exceed 30%, and these are mainly state-owned companies (86%), the share of startups and private businesses in import substitution statistics remains minimal (24%). This leads to a well-founded conclusion - no more than 60% of companies will be able to fully replace foreign software by 2025, while the transition of the rest will be delayed until 2030.
There is another problem: domestic software developers have not yet caught up with international companies in terms of solution functionality. Therefore, for example, according to Statcounter, in June 2023, the share of users of domestic Linux-based operating systems was only 2.1%. Statistics on users were collected based on Internet traffic without the use of artificial weighting factors.